One indication of how well House Republican members and hopefuls will fare in November lies in one of the seats that may flip in the House: Oklahoma’s 5th District, where Democratic Rep. Kendra Horn won in an upset during the 2018 “blue wave.”
Republicans have held the seat for decades, and President Trump won the Oklahoma City-based district by nearly 14 points in 2016. If the GOP can’t unseat her, it’s a troubling indication for the party’s chances in House races across the country.
Horn has structural advantages — her Republican challenger won’t be decided until an Aug. 25 runoff primary election, forcing GOP rivals to spend money on campaigning against each other, rather than her, for another month. All the while, she has a $2.4 million campaign war chest to deploy.
The two remaining Republican candidates vying to take her on are businesswoman Terry Neese, who won 36.5% in the state’s June 30 primary, and state Sen. Stephanie Bice, who won 25.4%. As of June 10, Neese had $353,000 in her account and Bice had $229,000, making either heavily dependent on help on outside political groups to match Horn’s spending.